• ISSN 1008-505X
  • CN 11-3996/S

基于DNDC和RothC模型的农田土壤有机碳动态模拟研究

Modelling soil organic carbon dynamics of cropland based on DNDC and RothC models

  • 摘要:
    目的 基于不同复杂度的DNDC和RothC模型模拟旱地不同秸秆还田量下土壤有机碳 (SOC)的动态变化,对比模型结果差异及其成因,为耕地SOC动态模拟的模型选择提供参考。
    方法 试验数据 (气候、土壤、作物等)来自北京昌平土壤质量国家野外科学观测研究站长期定位试验。试验始于2008年。包括单施化肥 (NPK)、化肥加作物秸秆 (NPKS)和化肥加有机肥 (NPKM) 3个处理。采用DNDC和RothC模型,模拟旱地农田SOC动态变化,应用实测的耕层0—20 cm SOC密度对模型进行校准与验证。基于所验证的模型对比分析不同秸秆还田量 (0、2250、4500 kg/hm2)情景下的农田SOC动态变化模拟结果。
    结果 总体上,两个模型对耕层SOC均取得了良好模拟效果,nRMSE均小于20%,nARE绝对值均小于15%,r在0.69至0.91之间,这表明这两个模型均适用于该研究区旱地农田SOC动态模拟研究。随着模拟年限的增加,不同秸秆还田量情景下的SOC密度均表现为逐渐增加,但增速逐渐减缓,并且秸秆还田量越多,SOC密度增加越明显。由于两个模型在根系碳输入量计算方式上的不同,其预测的SOC变化幅度有所差异,DNDC模型在190年期间,秸秆不还田、半量还田和全量还田情景下的SOC密度分别增加了39%、95%和147%,而RothC模型在相同情景下的SOC密度分别增加了104%、206%和307%。
    结论 DNDC与Rothc模型对旱地SOC动态模拟均取得了良好的效果,对不同秸秆还田量情景下SOC变化预测具有相似的趋势。由于RothC模型结构简单、输入参数少,适用于SOC快速模拟评估,在旱地土壤可以替代DNDC模型在秸秆还田措施下对SOC动态进行预测。而DNDC模型模拟了复杂的作物生长与土壤生物地球化学循环过程,更适用于综合模拟评估。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives The DNDC and RothC models with different levels of complexity were used to simulate the dynamics of soil organic carbon (SOC) for dryland field under different amounts of straw return. The model results were compared and the causes for the differences of model simulations of two models were investigated, which provides references for model selections of cropland SOC modeling.
    Methods The experimental data (climate, soil, crop, etc.) were obtained from the long-term field experiment at Changping Soil Quality National Observation and Research Station, which started in 2008 and included three treatments, namely, single application of chemical fertilizer (NPK), chemical fertilizer plus crop residue (NPKS) and chemical fertilizer plus organic fertilizer (NPKM). The DNDC and RothC models were used to simulate the dynamic changes of SOC in the dryland, and the measured 0−20 cm SOC density in the tillage layer was applied to calibrate and validate the models. Based on the validated models, the simulation results of SOC dynamics were compared and analyzed under the scenarios of different straw return rates (0, 2250 and 4500 kg/hm2).
    Results Overall, both models achieved good simulation results for the SOC in the tillage layer, with the nRMSE less than 20%, the absolute value of nARE less than 15%, and the r ranging from 0.69 to 0.91, which indicated that both models were suitable for simulating the SOC dynamics of the dryland in this study area. With the increase of simulation years, the SOC densities under different straw return scenarios all showed a gradual increase, but the increase rate gradually slowed down, and the more straw return, the more obvious the increase in SOC density. The magnitude of the predicted changes in SOC varied between the two models due to the differences in the calculation of root carbon inputs, with the DNDC model predicting SOC density increase by 39%, 95% and 147% for the scenarios of no straw return, half straw return and full straw return, respectively, over a period of 190 years, and the RothC model predicting SOC density increase under the same scenarios by 104%, 206% and 307%.
    Conclusions Both the DNDC and RothC models performed well in simulating SOC dynamics in dryland soils and showed similar trends in predicting SOC changes under different straw return scenarios. Due to its simpler structure and fewer input parameters, the RothC model is suitable for rapid SOC simulation and assessment. In dryland soils, it can replace the DNDC model for predicting SOC dynamics under straw return practices. On the other hand, the DNDC model simulates complex crop growth and soil biogeochemical cycles, making it more suitable for comprehensive simulation and assessment of the agroecosystem.

     

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